{"id":2654,"date":"2012-08-20T14:41:16","date_gmt":"2012-08-20T13:41:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wpginjer.advence.net\/?p=2654"},"modified":"2016-04-05T08:46:12","modified_gmt":"2016-04-05T07:46:12","slug":"le-515-aout-2012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ginjer-am.com\/en\/news\/515\/le-515-aout-2012\/","title":{"rendered":"Le 5:15 – Ao\u00fbt 2012"},"content":{"rendered":"

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1\/ Comme nous avons pu l\u2019\u00e9voquer \u00e0 de nombreuses reprises, les rep\u00e8res traditionnels de la gestion li\u00e9s \u00e0 la macro\u00e9conomie et \u00e0 la micro\u00e9conomie ne permettaient pas \u00e0 eux seuls d\u2019envisager la hausse r\u00e9cente des march\u00e9s. Nous pensons que cette \u00ab recovery \u00bb est la cons\u00e9quence des premiers d\u00e9bouclements de positions vendeuses, due \u00e0 une pr\u00e9somption d\u2019unit\u00e9 politique pour r\u00e9soudre le probl\u00e8me de la dette.<\/p>\n

2\/ Si le d\u00e9bouclement a eu lieu sur la France et le secteur bancaire depuis le d\u00e9but du mois de juin ;\u00a0 la fin de semaine derni\u00e8re a vu un mouvement de soulagement sur l\u2019Espagne par effet de diffusion, justifiant ainsi la poursuite de la hausse sur les march\u00e9s actions.
\nNous avions proc\u00e9d\u00e9 par anticipation (\u00e0 la lecture de nos signaux : passage de 4 en 3 sur notre \u00e9chelle de risque) \u00e0 des investissements sur les banques, ainsi que de grandes valeurs cycliques\u00a0 fran\u00e7aises et de la zone euro (en juin et au d\u00e9but du mois d\u2019aout) en int\u00e9grant des actions tr\u00e8s sensible \u00e0 ce d\u00e9bouclement, et en renfor\u00e7ant notamment significativement notre exposition via des futures euro.<\/p>\n

3\/ Nous restons vigilants \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9volution des devises. Dans l\u2019attente des d\u00e9cisions politiques de fin aout, nous remarquons que l\u2019euro peine \u00e0 remonter aussi vite que les mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, au contraire de la baisse concomitante pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente (fin avril d\u00e9but mai) li\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019id\u00e9e du ralentissement \u00e9conomique. Ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne ayant \u00e9t\u00e9 un \u00e9cho parfait de ce que nous qualifions d\u2019 \u00ab Interaction nouvelles strat\u00e9gies \u00bb o\u00f9 des arbitrages se r\u00e9alisent entre mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res et devises.<\/p>\n

4\/ Dans ce mouvement de d\u00e9tente, le march\u00e9 est revenu \u00e0\u00a0 des niveaux de taux moins toxiques pour les dettes p\u00e9riph\u00e9riques. Nous avons franchi un palier important vers la normalisation ; il en reste n\u00e9anmoins de nombreux (install\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2011) pour revenir \u00e0 une situation apais\u00e9e. Ces paliers restants d\u00e9pendent d\u00e9sormais d\u2019actions concr\u00e8tes des politiques et de la BCE.<\/p>\n

5\/ Enfin, si une pause peut se produire sur les march\u00e9s actions, elle sera une \u00e9tape de consolidation plut\u00f4t qu\u2019une aspiration \u00e0 retourner vers le bas. Les actions politiques donneront le tempo de ce retour \u00e0 meilleure fortune. Pour notre part, nous attendons le moment propice pour compl\u00e9ter notre exposition aux actifs risqu\u00e9s qui avait \u00e9t\u00e9 doubl\u00e9e au tout d\u00e9but de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 pour atteindre aujourd\u2019hui\u00a0 50%.<\/p>\n

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Consultez nos 3 derni\u00e8res actualit\u00e9s<\/p>\n

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CONTACT<\/h1>\n

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Vous \u00eates int\u00e9ress\u00e9s par l\u2019approche de Ginjer AM et souhaitez en savoir plus ? Contactez Ginjer AM qui vous r\u00e9pondra rapidement<\/p>\n

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\"ginjer_logo_blanc\"<\/a><\/p>\n

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Website created by Advence<\/a>\u00a02015<\/p>\n

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Identit\u00e9<\/h1>\n

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Philosophie<\/a>
\u00c9quipe<\/a>
Ambition<\/a><\/p>\n

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Services<\/h1>\n

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5\/15<\/a>
Le Lab<\/a>
Formation<\/a>
Fonds<\/a><\/p>\n

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Liens utiles<\/h1>\n

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Press-kit<\/a>
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1\/ Comme nous avons pu l\u2019\u00e9voquer \u00e0 de nombreuses reprises, les rep\u00e8res traditionnels de la gestion li\u00e9s \u00e0 la macro\u00e9conomie et \u00e0 la micro\u00e9conomie ne permettaient pas \u00e0 eux seuls d\u2019envisager la hausse r\u00e9cente des march\u00e9s. Nous pensons que cette \u00ab recovery \u00bb est la cons\u00e9quence des premiers d\u00e9bouclements de positions vendeuses, due \u00e0 une […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":3430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[67,51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-67","category-51"],"yoast_head":"\nLe 5:15 - Ao\u00fbt 2012 - Ginjer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ginjer-am.com\/news\/515\/le-515-aout-2012\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le 5:15 - Ao\u00fbt 2012 - Ginjer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"1\/ Comme nous avons pu l\u2019\u00e9voquer \u00e0 de nombreuses reprises, les rep\u00e8res traditionnels de la gestion li\u00e9s \u00e0 la macro\u00e9conomie et \u00e0 la micro\u00e9conomie ne permettaient pas \u00e0 eux seuls d\u2019envisager la hausse r\u00e9cente des march\u00e9s. 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