{"id":2666,"date":"2012-06-29T14:54:24","date_gmt":"2012-06-29T13:54:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wpginjer.advence.net\/?p=2666"},"modified":"2017-02-01T15:30:14","modified_gmt":"2017-02-01T14:30:14","slug":"ginjer-am-flash-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ginjer-am.com\/en\/news\/ginjer-am-flash-4\/","title":{"rendered":"GINJER AM &#8211; FLASH"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section admin_label=&#8221;Section&#8221; fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; specialty=&#8221;off&#8221; background_image=&#8221;https:\/\/ginjer-am.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/identite_gilleleonard.jpg&#8221; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; allow_player_pause=&#8221;off&#8221; inner_shadow=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax=&#8221;on&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;off&#8221; padding_mobile=&#8221;off&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; make_equal=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;off&#8221; gutter_width=&#8221;3&#8243;][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Ligne&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243;][et_pb_post_title admin_label=&#8221;Titre du poste&#8221; title=&#8221;on&#8221; meta=&#8221;on&#8221; author=&#8221;on&#8221; date=&#8221;on&#8221; categories=&#8221;off&#8221; comments=&#8221;off&#8221; featured_image=&#8221;off&#8221; featured_placement=&#8221;below&#8221; parallax_effect=&#8221;on&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;on&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;center&#8221; text_color=&#8221;dark&#8221; text_background=&#8221;off&#8221; text_bg_color=&#8221;rgba(255,255,255,0.9)&#8221; module_bg_color=&#8221;rgba(255,255,255,0)&#8221; title_all_caps=&#8221;off&#8221; meta_font_size=&#8221;14&#8243; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; title_font_size=&#8221;36px&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_post_title][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section admin_label=&#8221;section&#8221; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#e8e8e8&#8243; allow_player_pause=&#8221;off&#8221; inner_shadow=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;off&#8221; padding_mobile=&#8221;off&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; make_equal=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;off&#8221; gutter_width=&#8221;3&#8243;][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;row&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Texte&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;light&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;left&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#bcbcbc&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;40px|40px|40px|40px&#8221; module_class=&#8221;article_ginjer&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><strong>Au moment o\u00f9 des d\u00e9cisions d\u00e9terminantes pour l\u2019Europe peuvent \u00eatre prises, il nous para\u00eet important de vous communiquer nos positions et la dynamique qui nous a conduit \u00e0 les avoir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Vous avez pu suivre dans nos derniers 5\/15 (5 id\u00e9es pour 15 jours de march\u00e9) et nos commentaires de reporting que nous conservions une sensibilit\u00e9 au march\u00e9 actions (delta) de 30% dans notre portefeuille en d\u00e9pit d\u2019un environnement tr\u00e8s perturb\u00e9 et proche d\u2019une capitulation historique. Ce maintien d\u2019un niveau de risque significatif dans le portefeuille a \u00e9t\u00e9 suivi en plus d\u2019une augmentation de notre sensibilit\u00e9 actions sur ces trois derni\u00e8res semaines pour atteindre 43% de delta, avec notamment l\u2019introduction de titres actions en direct orient\u00e9e vers les valeurs bancaires et cycliques.<\/p>\n<p>Au-del\u00e0 du timing pour lequel il conviendra de prendre le recul n\u00e9cessaire, nous souhaitons insister sur les raisons de cette dynamique \u00e0 l\u2019augmentation du risque&nbsp;:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Parce que les march\u00e9s financiers ont chang\u00e9, notre gestion s\u2019articule autour de l\u2019interpr\u00e9tation de signaux d\u2019interactions de nature diff\u00e9rentes&nbsp;; parmi lesquelles les interactions synth\u00e9tiques. Ces signaux constituent les indicateurs de notre \u00ab&nbsp;cabine de pilotage&nbsp;\u00bb et ne s\u2019arr\u00eatent pas aux curseurs macro\u00e9conomiques ou micro\u00e9conomiques traditionnels.<\/li>\n<li>Or depuis un an, nous avons \u00e9prouv\u00e9 chez Ginjer deux situations oppos\u00e9es&nbsp;:<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>A l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2011 ou tout semblait r\u00e9uni pour investir, nos signaux indiquaient de fortes tensions adverses, emp\u00eachant l\u2019investissement&nbsp;;<\/p>\n<p>A l\u2019inverse, depuis mars 2012, alors que tout semblait conduire \u00e0 la capitulation, nos signaux ont mis en relief un arr\u00eat des tensions voire un d\u00e9gonflement des pressions vendeuses relativement \u00e0 la situation extr\u00eame touch\u00e9e en novembre.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"3\">\n<li>L\u2019interpr\u00e9tation qui nous a amen\u00e9 \u00e0 poursuivre l\u2019investissement sur l\u2019actif risqu\u00e9&nbsp;est qu\u2019il existait des solutions mais que les d\u00e9cisions politiques n\u2019\u00e9taient pas prises. Celles-ci faciliteraient le d\u00e9bouclement des importantes positions vendeuses install\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2011. Il faut donc bien un catalyseur positif.<\/li>\n<li>Bien entendu, ce qui a provoqu\u00e9 la baisse de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2011 a toujours eu selon nous la possibilit\u00e9 de s\u2019exercer sym\u00e9triquement \u00e0 la hausse, par effet de d\u00e9bouclement de ces positions de protections. C\u2019est bien ce que nous guettons depuis d\u00e9cembre 2011.<\/li>\n<li>Depuis bien longtemps, le sommet europ\u00e9en en cours apporte les premiers signes tangibles d\u2019\u00e9l\u00e9ments structurants pour l\u2019avenir de l\u2019Europe, amenant un soulagement. Ce \u00ab&nbsp;tout petit&nbsp;\u00bb signe, encore incomplet, provoque des mouvements qui ne sont pas le fait d\u2019un retour sur le march\u00e9 des acteurs traditionnels mais la confirmation des possibilit\u00e9s de r\u00e9duction rapide du risque.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Nous ne sommes qu\u2019au tout d\u00e9but de ces mouvements de d\u00e9bouclement. Nous continuons d\u2019observer leurs \u00e9volutions \u00e0 la lumi\u00e8re des diff\u00e9rents \u00e9v\u00e8nements exog\u00e8nes possibles, avant que de continuer \u00e0 profiler le risque de notre portefeuille vers un b\u00e9ta plus fort.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;row&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Texte&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;light&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;center&#8221; text_font=&#8221;Oswald||||&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;30&#8243; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;40px||40px|&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>Consultez nos 3 derni\u00e8res actualit\u00e9s<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Ligne&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243;][et_pb_code admin_label=&#8221;Actualite ess grid&#8221;][\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section admin_label=&#8221;Section&#8221; global_module=&#8221;490&#8243; fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; specialty=&#8221;off&#8221; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; allow_player_pause=&#8221;off&#8221; inner_shadow=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;off&#8221; padding_mobile=&#8221;on&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; make_equal=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;off&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#c8b8d5&#8243; module_class=&#8221;bordure&#8221; disabled=&#8221;off&#8221; module_id=&#8221;contact&#8221; custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221;][et_pb_row global_parent=&#8221;490&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Ligne&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;off&#8221; padding_mobile=&#8221;on&#8221; allow_player_pause=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;off&#8221; make_equal=&#8221;off&#8221; column_padding_mobile=&#8221;on&#8221; parallax_1=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method_1=&#8221;off&#8221; custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; custom_margin_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243;][et_pb_text global_parent=&#8221;490&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Contacts&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;light&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;left&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; module_id=&#8221;contacts&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h1 style=\"text-align: center; color: #fff;\">\u00c9CRIVEZ-NOUS<\/h1>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text global_parent=&#8221;490&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Texte&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;dark&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;center&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;|50px||50px&#8221; custom_padding_tablet=&#8221;|20px|0px|20px&#8221; custom_padding_phone=&#8221;|5px|0px|5px&#8221; custom_padding_last_edited=&#8221;on|tablet&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>Vous \u00eates int\u00e9ress\u00e9 par l\u2019approche de Ginjer<span style=\"font-size:0.3em\"> AM<\/span> et souhaitez en savoir plus ? Contactez Ginjer<span style=\"font-size:0.3em\"> AM<\/span> qui vous r\u00e9pondra rapidement.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_contact_form global_parent=&#8221;490&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Formulaire de contact&#8221; captcha=&#8221;off&#8221; email=&#8221;xdupont@advence.fr&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; custom_button=&#8221;on&#8221; button_border_radius=&#8221;50&#8243; button_letter_spacing=&#8221;0&#8243; button_use_icon=&#8221;off&#8221; button_icon_placement=&#8221;right&#8221; button_on_hover=&#8221;off&#8221; button_border_radius_hover=&#8221;50&#8243; button_letter_spacing_hover=&#8221;0&#8243; button_font=&#8221;Roboto||||&#8221; title_text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; button_text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; button_bg_color=&#8221;#ff5b72&#8243; button_text_color_hover=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; button_bg_color_hover=&#8221;rgba(255,91,114,0.6)&#8221; use_redirect=&#8221;off&#8221; success_message=&#8221;Merci, votre demande est envoy\u00e9e&#8221; input_border_radius=&#8221;0&#8243; custom_css_contact_button=&#8221;float: none;||text-align: center;&#8221; module_class=&#8221;et_contact_bottom_container&#8221; custom_css_main_element=&#8221;float: none;||text-align: center;&#8221; button_border_width=&#8221;0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>[et_pb_contact_field field_id=&#8221;adress&#8221; field_title=&#8221;Votre adresse mail&#8221; field_type=&#8221;email&#8221; required_mark=&#8221;on&#8221; fullwidth_field=&#8221;on&#8221; form_field_font_select=&#8221;default&#8221; form_field_font=&#8221;||||&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; \/][et_pb_contact_field field_id=&#8221;text&#8221; field_title=&#8221;Votre demande&#8221; field_type=&#8221;text&#8221; required_mark=&#8221;on&#8221; fullwidth_field=&#8221;on&#8221; form_field_font_select=&#8221;default&#8221; form_field_font=&#8221;||||&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; \/]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_contact_form][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section admin_label=&#8221;Section&#8221; global_module=&#8221;355&#8243; fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; specialty=&#8221;off&#8221; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; allow_player_pause=&#8221;off&#8221; inner_shadow=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;off&#8221; padding_mobile=&#8221;on&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; make_equal=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;off&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;25px||25px|&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#333333&#8243;][et_pb_row global_parent=&#8221;355&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Ligne&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;off&#8221; padding_mobile=&#8221;off&#8221; allow_player_pause=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;off&#8221; make_equal=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_1=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method_1=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_2=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method_2=&#8221;off&#8221; column_padding_mobile=&#8221;on&#8221; background_color=&#8221;#333333&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_3&#8243;][et_pb_text global_parent=&#8221;355&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Texte&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;light&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;center&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; text_font=&#8221;Open Sans||||&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;12&#8243; text_text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>Site web cr\u00e9\u00e9 par <a href=\"http:\/\/www.advence.fr\" class=\"linkadvence\">Advence<\/a> 2016.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;2_3&#8243;][et_pb_text global_parent=&#8221;355&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Texte&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;light&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;left&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; border_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; text_text_color=&#8221;#999999&#8243; text_font=&#8221;Open Sans||||&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;12&#8243; text_line_height=&#8221;1.5em&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>Vous pouvez consulter nos <a href=\"https:\/\/ginjer-am.com\/mentions-legales\/\" class=\"linkspecial\">Mentions L\u00e9gales<\/a>. Le contenu utilis\u00e9 sur ce site ne doit pas \u00eatre reproduit, ni distribu\u00e9, transmis, cach\u00e9 ou utilis\u00e9 \u00e0 l&#8217;exception d&#8217;une autorisation fournie par Ginjer<span style=\"font-size:0.3em\"> AM<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section admin_label=&#8221;Section&#8221; global_module=&#8221;461&#8243; fullwidth=&#8221;on&#8221; specialty=&#8221;off&#8221; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; allow_player_pause=&#8221;off&#8221; inner_shadow=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method=&#8221;off&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px|0px|0px|0px&#8221; padding_mobile=&#8221;on&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; make_equal=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;off&#8221; gutter_width=&#8221;3&#8243; disabled_on=&#8221;on|on|on&#8221; disabled=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_fullwidth_menu global_parent=&#8221;461&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Menu plein \u00e9cran&#8221; menu_id=&#8221;13&#8243; background_color=&#8221;#283139&#8243; background_layout=&#8221;dark&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;right&#8221; submenu_direction=&#8221;upwards&#8221; fullwidth_menu=&#8221;off&#8221; dropdown_menu_animation=&#8221;fade&#8221; menu_font_size=&#8221;16px&#8221; menu_font=&#8221;Open Sans||||&#8221; active_link_color=&#8221;#ff5b72&#8243; menu_text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; custom_css_main_element=&#8221;padding:0px;&#8221; dropdown_menu_line_color=&#8221;#ff5b72&#8243; dropdown_menu_bg_color=&#8221;#283139&#8243; dropdown_menu_text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; mobile_menu_bg_color=&#8221;#283139&#8243; mobile_menu_text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_fullwidth_menu][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Au moment o\u00f9 des d\u00e9cisions d\u00e9terminantes pour l\u2019Europe peuvent \u00eatre prises, il nous para\u00eet important de vous communiquer nos positions et la dynamique qui nous a conduit \u00e0 les avoir. Vous avez pu suivre dans nos derniers 5\/15 (5 id\u00e9es pour 15 jours de march\u00e9) et nos commentaires de reporting que nous conservions une sensibilit\u00e9 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":2543,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[54,49],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-flash","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>GINJER AM - FLASH - Ginjer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ginjer-am.com\/news\/ginjer-am-flash-4\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"GINJER AM - FLASH - Ginjer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Au moment o\u00f9 des d\u00e9cisions d\u00e9terminantes pour l\u2019Europe peuvent \u00eatre prises, il nous para\u00eet important de vous communiquer nos positions et la dynamique qui nous a conduit \u00e0 les avoir. 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